Direct Democracy and Regional Integration: Citizens' Perceptions of Treaty Implications and the Irish Reversal on Lisbon

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12 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Analyses of voting in European Union referendums typically distinguish between ‘second-order’ effects and the impact of substantive ‘issues’. In order to explain change in referendum outcome, two types of substantive issues are distinguished in this article. Focusing on Irish voting in the Lisbon Treaty referendums and using data from post-referendum surveys, it is found that perceptions of treaty implications outperform underlying attitudes to EU integration in predicting vote choice at both referendums, and perceptions of treaty implications are strong predictors of vote change between the referendums. The findings have broadly positive implications for normative assessments of the usefulness of direct democracy as a tool for legitimising regional integration advance.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)94-118
Number of pages24
JournalEuropean Journal of Political Research
Volume52
Issue number1
Early online date28 May 2012
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jan 2013

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Sociology and Political Science

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