Imagining climate resilient futures: A layered Delphi panel approach

Stephen Flood*, Fionn Rogan, Alexandra Revez, Connor McGookin, Barry O'Dwyer, Clodagh Harris, Niall Dunphy, Edmond Byrne, Brian Gallachóir, Paul Bolger, Evan Boyle, James Glynn, John Barry, Geraint Ellis, Gerard Mullally

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

5 Citations (Scopus)
94 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

This paper in using a novel application of the Delphi panel method, explores and consolidates the future visions of a low carbon and climate resilient future in Ireland through community-based visioning processes that emerged through co-created, deliberative approaches at local level. It embraces a visioning process that applies a transdisciplinary approach, which aims to match different visions and stakeholder needs, combining bottom-up and top-down perspectives. Community visions were articulated by means of a series of deliberative futures workshops facilitated by the transdisciplinary project research team. Through iterations of the Delphi feedback loop, the notion of deep and shallow agreement is explored to examine the spectrum of consensus to dissent around the co-developed future visions and pathways of climate action, articulated by the Irish community case study. This approach enables a critical exploration of the conventional science-policy-practice nexus through the use of innovative creative communication and engagement methods. Findings suggest that more deliberative forums which bring together a diverse range of stakeholders are needed to develop a shared vision for the future; the importance of language use and the creation of a shared vocabulary of climate action; and the power of civic imaginaries in helping to create useful future narratives.

Original languageEnglish
Article number103100
JournalFutures
Volume147
Early online date21 Jan 2023
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 01 Mar 2023

Bibliographical note

Funding Information:
This research is published as part of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Research Programme 2014–2020. The EPA Research Programme is a Government of Ireland initiative funded by the Department of Communications, Climate Action and Environment. It is administered by the EPA, which has the statutory function of co-ordinating and promoting environmental research. The research is co-funded by Science Foundation Ireland (SFI) through the MaREI Centre for Energy, Climate and Marine (Grant no. 12/RC/2302_P2 ) and by Sustainable Energy Authority of Ireland (SEAI). We are particularly grateful to all the research participants who took part in Imagining2050 research activities, for their time, interest and commitment.

Funding Information:
This research is published as part of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Research Programme 2014–2020. The EPA Research Programme is a Government of Ireland initiative funded by the Department of Communications, Climate Action and Environment. It is administered by the EPA, which has the statutory function of co-ordinating and promoting environmental research. The research is co-funded by Science Foundation Ireland (SFI) through the MaREI Centre for Energy, Climate and Marine (Grant no. 12/RC/2302_P2) and by Sustainable Energy Authority of Ireland (SEAI). We are particularly grateful to all the research participants who took part in Imagining2050 research activities, for their time, interest and commitment.

Publisher Copyright:
© 2023 The Authors

Keywords

  • Community visioning
  • Convergence and divergence
  • Delphi panel
  • Societal transitions
  • Transdisciplinary

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • General Decision Sciences
  • Business and International Management
  • Development
  • Sociology and Political Science
  • General Social Sciences

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