Is hyperfiltration associated with the future risk of developing diabetic nephropathy? A meta-analysis.

G.M. Magee, R.W. Bilous, Christopher Cardwell, S.J. Hunter, Frank Kee, Damian Fogarty

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287 Citations (Scopus)
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Aims/hypothesis Glomerular hyperfiltration is a well established phenomenon occurring early in some patients with type 1 diabetes. However, there is no consistent answer regarding whether hyperfiltration predicts later development of nephropathy. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies that compared the risk of developing diabetic nephropathy in patients with and without glomerular hyperfiltration and also explored the impact of baseline GFR.

Methods A systematic review and meta-analysis was carried out. Cohort studies in type 1 diabetic participants were included if they contained data on the development of incipient or overt nephropathy with baseline measurement
of GFR and presence or absence of hyperfiltration.

Results We included ten cohort studies following 780 patients. After a study median follow-up of 11.2 years, 130 patients had developed nephropathy. Using a random effects model, the pooled odds of progression to a minimum
of microalbuminuria in patients with hyperfiltration was 2.71 (95% CI 1.20–6.11) times that of patients with normofiltration. There was moderate heterogeneity (heterogeneity test p=0.05, measure of degree of inconsistency=48%) and some evidence of funnel plot asymmetry, possibly due to publication bias. The pooled weighted mean difference in baseline GFR was 13.8 ml min-1 1.73 m-2 (95% CI 5.0–22.7) greater in the group progressing to nephropathy than in those not progressing (heterogeneity test p<0.01).

Conclusions/interpretation In published studies, individuals with glomerular hyperfiltration were at increased risk of progression to diabetic nephropathy using study level data. Further larger studies are required to explore this relationship and the role of potential confounding variables.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)691-697
Number of pages7
Issue number4
Early online date07 Feb 2009
Publication statusPublished - Apr 2009

Bibliographical note

This is the first meta-analysis on hyperfiltration, regarded as the major common pathway contributing to diabetic, hypertensive and indeed many othr forms of kidney failure. As senior author, Dr Fogarty instigated the idea (with RWB, Newcastle University), reviewed papers and wrote large sections of this as supervisor of a new MD student.


  • Diabetic nephropathy
  • Glomerular
  • Meta-analysis
  • Progression
  • Diabetes
  • Chronic Kidney Disease

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism
  • Internal Medicine


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