Technology Assessment for a Complex Aircraft System using Technology Scenarios

Danielle Soban, Cale Zeune

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

3 Citations (Scopus)


Military decision makers need to understand and assess the benefits and consequences of their decisions in order to make cost efficient, timely, and successful choices. Technology selection is one such critical decision, especially when considering the design or retrofit of a complex system, such as an aircraft. An integrated and systematic methodology that will support decision-making between technology alternatives and options while assessing the consequences of such decisions is a key enabler. This paper presents and demonstrates, through application to a notional medium range short takeoff and landing (STOL) aircraft, one such enabler: the Technology Impact Forecasting (TIF) method. The goal of the TIF process is to explore both generic, undefined areas of technology, as well as specific technologies, and assess their potential impacts. This is actualized through the development and use of technology scenarios, and allows the designer to determine where to allocate resources for further technology definition and refinement, as well as provide useful design information. The paper particularly discusses the use of technology scenarios and demonstrates their use in the exploration of seven technologies of varying technology readiness levels.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)305-318
JournalThe Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation: Applications, Methodology, Technology
Issue number3
Publication statusPublished - Jul 2015

Fingerprint Dive into the research topics of 'Technology Assessment for a Complex Aircraft System using Technology Scenarios'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this