The 2019 pumice raft forming eruption of Volcano-F (Volcano 0403–091) and implications for hazards posed by submerged calderas

Low volcanic explosivity index (VEI) eruptions are common occurrences in the Southwest Pacific but, as demonstrated by the 2021/2022 eruption of Hunga Volcano, submerged calderas in the region are also capable of producing much larger and more hazardous eruptions. As such, characterising smaller events from potentially hazardous systems is essential. The 2019 eruption of Volcano-F, a submerged caldera, would likely have gone totally undetected had it not produced a pumice raft that inundated beaches in Fiji and eventually washed up in Australia. New data, acquired 5 months after the eruption, reveal the development of a new vent and the accumulation of at least 3.1*10⁷ m³ bulk volume (dense rock equivalent of 5.6*10⁶ m³) of material on the seafloor. Between 30 and 70% of erupted material entered the raft, while the rest remained near to or was dispersed down-current of the vent. This previously unaccounted for material increases the volume estimate for the eruption, confirming it as a VEI 3 event and highlights the importance of considering not just the floating component of a pumice raft forming eruption for VEI estimation. Geochemical analysis reveals the eruption comprised a homogenous batch of dacitic magma, with compositional characteristics similar to that erupted from the same volcano in 2001, and an until-now-unidentified pumice raft in the Coral Sea in 1964. Volcano-F therefore appears to have had at least three explosive eruptions in the last 60 years, indicating it is significantly at unrest. Repeated eruptions of similar composition and low crystal content magma over decadal to centennial scales indicate the existence of a melt-dominant magma body beneath the volcano. Submerged calderas, like Volcano-F, are common in the wider Southwest Pacific region, with many such calderas producing regular eruptions, implicating active magmatic recharge. Our findings motivate a need to carefully monitor and characterise even apparently small eruptions at this volcano, and others along the Tonga-Kermadec Arc. This is because such eruptions have the potential to subsequently prime or trigger more explosive eruptions and provide critical geochemical evidence about the plumbing system and evolution of the volcano, essential for understanding the diverse hazards they pose.