The continued salience of religious voting in the United States, Germany, and Great Britain

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    Abstract

    Conventional wisdom on party systems in advanced industrial democracies holds that modern electorates are dealigned and that social cleavages no longer structure party politics. Recent work on class cleavages has challenged this stylized fact. The analysis performed here extends this criticism to the religious-secular cleavage. Using path analysis and comparing the current electorates of the United States, Germany, and Great Britain with the early 1960s, this paper demonstrates that the religious-secular cleavage remains or has become a significant predictor of conservative vote choice. While the effects of the religious-secular cleavage on vote choice have become largely indirect, the total of the direct and indirect effects is substantial and equivalent to the effects of class and status.
    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)125-135
    JournalElectoral Studies
    Volume30
    Issue number1
    Early online date26 Oct 2010
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - Mar 2011

    Keywords

    • Religious voting
    • Social cleavages
    • Party systems
    • Religiosity

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